PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xe64024beb9a733c3519524e24c5831d392121291

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
222
Open portfolio
$311.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded222
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration94.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will María Corina Machado be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0390.031$106.84−$27.93
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0250.004$71.37−$435.53
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0130.006$60.52−$69.46
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0070.003$35.23−$64.74
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$21.50−$31.48
Will Edmundo González be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0370.029$15.81−$4.19
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0770.000$0.00−$60.00
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? · Yes0.0790.000$0.00−$33.00
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30? · Yes0.0670.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? · Yes0.1170.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET · Down0.2100.000$0.00−$1.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$4.00
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? · Yes0.5070.000$0.00−$14.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET · Up0.1900.000$0.00−$0.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 08:06Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.0090293417$20.00
10-27 08:03Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.0276173623$30.00
10-27 08:03Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.0103072849$50.00
10-27 05:12Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.0040262248$20.00
10-26 17:34Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.08$30.00
10-26 17:14Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0739999999$30.00
10-26 12:53Will Edmundo González be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?BUY0.0373079564$20.00
10-26 06:41Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.0120518429$50.00
10-25 23:33Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.002$20.00
10-25 23:33Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.0082343195$20.00
10-25 23:33Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.0193904233$10.00
10-25 22:02Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?SELL0.999$79.92
10-25 19:03Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?BUY0.25$20.00
10-25 18:57Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.009$20.00
10-25 18:26Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.001$20.00