0xE63c43DF12F27eCF30eC55F3F1cC498B62cc176C-1724331853892
0xe63c43df12f27ecf30ec55f3f1cc498b62cc176c
- Realised P&L
- $-2.5k
- Volume
- $23.1k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? · Yes | 0.567 | 0.195 | $1.1k | −$2.1k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.20at 0.028Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?
- +$-341.37at 0.154Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-22 13:22 | Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | BUY | 0.5840208649 | $1.4k |
| 04-20 10:05 | Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | SELL | 0.5273657632 | $594.20 |
| 03-05 13:12 | Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | BUY | 0.5385731672 | $500.00 |
| 03-03 13:29 | Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | BUY | 0.558877473 | $2.0k |
| 05-22 17:41 | Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31? | SELL | 0.0677421001 | $219.76 |
| 05-22 12:54 | Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31? | SELL | 0.0337101622 | $122.20 |
| 05-22 11:44 | Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31? | BUY | 0.0941621911 | $100.00 |
| 05-22 11:02 | Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31? | BUY | 0.0275870029 | $100.00 |
| 05-22 10:57 | Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31? | BUY | 0.1766880312 | $500.00 |