0xe63bd8ebb210082cf54780b42d60f14a58ad7cd3
0xe63bd8ebb210082cf54780b42d60f14a58ad7cd3
- Realised P&L
- $35.84
- Volume
- $221.47
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $68.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar16.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Domino's say "Pizza" 20+ times during earnings call? · Yes | 0.970 | 0.900 | $68.88 | −$5.36 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.14at 0.379Will Trump say "Gulf of America" during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?
- +$0.20at 0.981Will JD Vance say "Job" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?
- +$0.00at 0.999Will the announcers say "Safety" during the 49ers vs Seahawks game?
- +$-7.97at 0.290Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
- +$-9.54at 0.585Will Trump say "Buffalo" during his Midterm Rally in New York?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 20:37 | Will the announcers say "Safety" during the 49ers vs Seahawks game? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 18:08 | Will Domino's say "Pizza" 20+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.97 | $25.02 |
| 10-11 18:05 | Will Domino's say "Pizza" 20+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.9699999996 | $24.75 |
| 10-11 17:57 | Will Domino's say "Pizza" 20+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.97 | $24.47 |
| 10-10 08:11 | Will Trump say "Gulf of America" during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee? | BUY | 0.3699999984 | $31.68 |
| 10-09 19:26 | Will Trump say "Buffalo" during his Midterm Rally in New York? | BUY | 0.6099999539 | $2.38 |
| 10-09 18:46 | Will JD Vance say "Job" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.98 | $10.33 |
| 10-09 12:48 | Will Trump say "Buffalo" during his Midterm Rally in New York? | BUY | 0.5641968118 | $7.00 |
| 10-09 08:38 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999971 | $7.69 |