0xe63b1179408f331424aaa29cce69bb015978f734
- Realised P&L
- $-325.89
- Volume
- $16.8k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $28.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Relay launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.215 | 0.235 | $28.24 | +$2.39 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.99at 0.805Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$8.96at 0.998Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?
- +$8.20at 0.886US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
- +$7.09at 0.990Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
- +$6.06at 0.970Iran closes its airspace by May 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 13:07 | Tread FDV above $40M one day after launch | SELL | 0.38 | $17.10 |
| 09-16 12:46 | Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch | SELL | 0.1084705882 | $11.52 |
| 09-15 18:35 | Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 17:29 | Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9779998924 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 17:28 | Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.978 | $48.90 |
| 09-15 17:28 | Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $13.37 |
| 07-14 21:09 | Will Tabi launch a token by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.12 | $3.10 |
| 07-07 16:04 | Will Tabi launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.11 | $9.90 |
| 06-16 20:24 | Will France win on 2026-06-16? | SELL | 0.7 | $14.00 |
| 06-16 19:47 | Will France win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 06-15 17:58 | Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | SELL | 0.999 | $87.41 |
| 06-15 17:53 | Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8 | $70.00 |
| 06-15 17:51 | Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | SELL | 0.22 | $22.00 |
| 06-15 09:48 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.064 | $12.80 |
| 06-08 15:43 | Will Relay launch a token by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.42 | $31.93 |