0xe638bc1fce44d15b90914f4ed2d62f1cdf37cc02
0xe638bc1fce44d15b90914f4ed2d62f1cdf37cc02
- Realised P&L
- $16.37
- Volume
- $104.65
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $21.76
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar15.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.355 | $21.76 | −$0.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.72at 0.355Will FC Porto win on 2026-09-20?
- +$3.66at 0.845Will Portugal win on 2026-09-24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 18:47 | Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.3599999974 | $22.07 |
| 09-24 10:50 | Will Portugal win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.8299999932 | $19.62 |
| 09-20 19:23 | Will FC Porto win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.3399999888 | $6.70 |