PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xe636f17961947c02aa17726a219bed89a6b00e88

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
53
Open portfolio
$6.4k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded53
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.6770.755$1.5k+$153.20
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.3790.635$418.68+$168.68
Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.7660.820$350.60+$23.10
Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.7300.825$305.14+$35.14
Will "NAZA" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.7880.955$242.21+$42.21
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.8000.855$213.75+$13.75
Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.7500.785$209.33+$9.33
Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.7720.640$201.07−$41.43
Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.5190.470$199.30−$20.70
Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.7980.880$195.65+$18.15
Will Nathan Fielder be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.6640.590$195.19−$24.81
Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.6700.640$193.91−$9.09
Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.6440.600$186.20−$13.80
Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.7300.865$161.15+$25.15
Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.2770.440$158.83+$58.83

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 20:42Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?BUY0.7351399371$280.00
10-29 03:23Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.734714285$139.00
10-26 22:30Will Nathan Fielder be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.630810166$120.00
10-26 22:29Will Lance Oppenheim win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.1652369284$15.00
10-26 22:28Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.7799944093$100.00
10-25 20:54Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?BUY0.8244350627$200.00
10-25 16:51Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?BUY0.023$10.00
10-24 16:04UFC 333: Colby Thicknesse vs. Asaf Chopurov (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)BUY0.7899999999$200.00
10-24 15:27UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims)BUY0.6935960151$118.50
10-24 15:08UFC 333: Daniel Santos vs. Bolaji Oki (Featherweight, Early Prelims)BUY0.5599999955$50.00
10-24 15:06UFC 333: Daniel Santos vs. Bolaji Oki (Featherweight, Early Prelims)BUY0.6914596616$213.00
10-24 02:20Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.6$75.00
10-24 02:18Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.7662697049$142.50
10-24 02:08Will Lance Oppenheim win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.180651683$75.00
10-24 02:07Will Nathan Fielder be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.7098240651$100.00