DiamonBallz
0xe62d3f1d74a9d132b6bf2d5dfabc4271af0613d2
- Realised P&L
- $7.02
- Volume
- $167.05
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $8.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration93.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.800 | $8.00 | −$0.10 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.60 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.50at 0.330Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.25at 0.690Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$0.12at 0.970GPT ads by March 31?
- +$-4.15at 0.470Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 06:59 | Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.81 | $8.10 |
| 07-03 16:10 | Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.31 | $18.60 |
| 06-23 05:17 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.33 | $16.50 |
| 06-13 22:12 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 04-07 23:39 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $0.94 |
| 01-21 07:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.85 |
| 01-17 04:19 | GPT ads by March 31? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.00 |
| 01-16 05:15 | Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899998965 | $5.00 |
| 01-06 07:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | BUY | 0.4699999887 | $5.00 |