PolyBot

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Traders

naiveapee

0xe62c63afacccd84d08c01bdae2484cb43d8497e1

Realised P&L
$4.1k
Volume
$117.6k
Markets traded
198
Open portfolio
$0.00

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded198
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00$156.78
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? · Yes0.2860.000$0.00$80.00
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$150.00
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00$5.00
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$5.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5370.000$0.00$79.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.4810.000$0.00$50.00
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.5780.000$0.00$503.62
Spread: England (-1.5) · England0.4900.000$0.00$25.00
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$5.00
Sunderland AFC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.5400.000$0.00$25.00
Endrick: 1+ goals · Yes0.4900.000$0.00$5.00
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$45.00
Chris Wood: 1+ goals · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$20.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00$150.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 19:25Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-09-17?SELL0.999$103.42
09-17 19:07Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)BUY0.25$25.00
09-17 19:02Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.4699999944$15.00
09-17 19:01Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.4599999971$35.00
09-17 17:01Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.6499999998$155.00
09-17 16:52Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.4899999984$15.00
09-17 16:51Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.4799999978$35.00
09-16 21:01Spread: FC Barcelona (-3.5)BUY0.7099999975$55.00
09-16 20:35Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.3623064723$50.00
09-16 19:02Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.4699999944$25.00
09-16 19:01Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.5399999918$25.00
09-15 18:47Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-15?BUY0.4699999986$155.00
09-14 20:36Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-14?BUY0.299999994$10.00
09-14 18:48Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-14?BUY0.6$15.00
09-14 18:46Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-14?BUY0.6$15.00