PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xE620EBFabE5B632e86203A3d8998346C701ffeC7-1768826905216

0xe620ebfabe5b632e86203a3d8998346c701ffec7

Realised P&L
$-20.61
Volume
$13.4k
Markets traded
265
Open portfolio
$85.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded265
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.4590.878$22.90+$10.92
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.7520.910$12.09+$2.09
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · No0.4200.925$11.01+$6.01
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · No0.7400.805$10.88+$0.88
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.7900.920$5.82+$0.82
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.6900.940$4.70+$1.25
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5060.444$2.63−$0.37
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.6200.700$2.26+$0.26
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.5500.865$1.57+$0.57
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.2030.159$1.57−$0.43
Texas Senate favorite on November 2? · Talarico0.7700.987$1.28+$0.28
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? · No0.6300.725$1.15+$0.15
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? · No0.7300.825$1.13+$0.13
Will Trump and Putin not meet? · Yes0.6700.140$1.04−$3.96
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.4320.403$0.93−$0.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-25 20:45Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?BUY0.2299999782$2.00
10-25 06:31Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0459999988$1.00
10-25 06:31Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?SELL0.954$7.15
10-19 09:23Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETSELL0.99$1.16
10-19 09:22Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETBUY0.849999915$1.00
10-19 09:21Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETSELL0.25$1.14
10-19 09:21Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETBUY0.219999978$1.00
10-19 09:16Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETBUY0.5699999886$1.00
10-19 09:13Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETBUY0.4799998464$1.00
10-19 09:08Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETSELL0.94$2.47
10-19 09:06Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETBUY0.3799999924$1.00
10-19 09:04Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETBUY0.1658536521$1.00
10-19 09:01Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETBUY0.78$1.00
10-19 08:54Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETSELL0.63$4.84
10-19 08:54Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETBUY0.1299999948$1.00