PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

alexbond19

0xe61728cf9bc62ecc7643eb53ef08236bba3551bc

Realised P&L
$-3.5k
Volume
$184.4k
Markets traded
83
Open portfolio
$15.13

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded83
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)51.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.0310.028$15.13−$1.93
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$21.20
Will Otzma win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$3.38
Another Russian incursion in Polish airspace by September 30? · Yes0.1040.000$0.00−$49.95
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? · Yes0.1490.000$0.00−$87.34
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00−$40.63
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$20.47
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by September 30? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$61.46
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$9.80
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0720.000$0.00−$141.30
Israel strikes Iran by October 3? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00−$508.66
Will SC Braga win on 2025-09-28? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$25.21
US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$17.64
Israel strikes Iran by October 31? · Yes0.1570.000$0.00−$619.14
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$53.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 19:42Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Paris BasketballBUY0.29$2.90
10-29 17:40Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?SELL0.001$1.08
10-29 17:29Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?SELL0.006$3.76
10-29 17:29Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?SELL0.0399124$39.91
10-29 16:12Will Yashar win 20-21 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?SELL0.9470275404$49.86
10-29 16:12Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?SELL0.049285078$44.26
10-28 15:30Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.00378257$3.78
10-28 14:15Will Otzma win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.001$0.34
10-28 14:00Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.0079164801$28.79
10-28 02:10Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.0542920271$40.00
10-28 01:28Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.988$785.45
10-28 01:28Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.91$227.50
10-28 00:06Will Otzma win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.1365573726$2.38
10-27 10:03Will Yashar win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.192$7.68
10-26 23:24Will Israel election happen as scheduled?BUY0.0296370354$20.98