Gucky-45
0xe613b515bd46b1585a8b137a4d291d9b80bd540e
- Realised P&L
- $405.1k
- Volume
- $147.76M
- Markets traded
- 2,556
- Open portfolio
- $37.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,556
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$529.2kat 0.500Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$480.8kat 0.130Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
- +$418.7kat 0.500Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$289.4kat 0.500Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$224.8kat 0.390Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 12:12 | Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.005 | $3.44 |
| 09-15 12:06 | Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.028 | $4.79 |
| 09-15 12:06 | Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.018 | $17.58 |
| 09-14 13:24 | Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.015 | $74.70 |
| 09-06 11:50 | Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | SELL | 0.007 | $6.96 |
| 09-06 11:50 | Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.14 |
| 09-06 11:50 | Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.01 |
| 09-06 11:50 | Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | SELL | 0.018 | $9.00 |
| 09-06 11:41 | Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.64 |
| 09-06 11:41 | Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.18 |
| 09-06 11:41 | Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $3.00 |
| 09-06 11:41 | Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $8.00 |
| 09-06 11:40 | Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $7.00 |
| 09-06 11:40 | Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.002 | $16.00 |
| 09-06 11:40 | Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.007 | $2.78 |