PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Gucky-45

0xe613b515bd46b1585a8b137a4d291d9b80bd540e

Realised P&L
$267.4k
Volume
$145.80M
Markets traded
2,471
Open portfolio
$40.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,471
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration78.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.5000.215$12.5k$16.5k
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0280.085$4.5k+$3.0k
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0280.041$2.5k+$798.50
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0280.135$2.4k+$1.9k
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0280.036$2.1k+$505.93
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0280.055$1.1k+$544.46
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0280.018$1.0k$567.07
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes0.5000.285$854.70$645.30
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0280.013$784.51$958.79
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0280.035$708.95+$152.66
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0280.035$690.00+$134.46
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0280.033$650.00+$94.46
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0280.011$609.00$1.0k
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0280.029$590.00+$34.46
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0280.009$531.02$1.0k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 12:04Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.002$0.50
08-02 12:03Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.011$0.00
08-02 12:02Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.049$5.78
08-02 12:00Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.001$59.40
08-02 11:56Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.136$335.86
07-30 07:58US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?SELL0.11$2.65
07-27 10:13Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?SELL0.091$0.01
07-27 00:49Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.003$0.19
07-27 00:49Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.003$3.60
07-27 00:48Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.007$12.60
07-27 00:48Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.013$6.53
07-27 00:48Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.028$3.50
07-27 00:37Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.0375866586$84.81
07-25 20:25Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.04$3.06
07-25 09:41Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.011$24.20