0xe6120514bc0767db171acaba170b8d924d4572f7
- Realised P&L
- $-992.38
- Volume
- $20.8k
- Markets traded
- 127
- Open portfolio
- $38.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded127
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5AM ET · Down | 0.429 | 0.420 | $38.20 | −$0.80 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4AM ET · Down | 0.395 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$38.36 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$212.89at 0.449Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8AM ET
- +$188.01at 0.351Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8PM ET
- +$154.81at 0.462Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1PM ET
- +$153.70at 0.487Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12PM ET
- +$140.85at 0.738Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 09:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.4603330017 | $20.00 |
| 09-21 09:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $19.00 |
| 09-21 08:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.3699999958 | $18.29 |
| 09-21 08:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.4199999992 | $20.12 |
| 09-21 07:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.24 | $15.00 |
| 09-21 07:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.2799999982 | $19.06 |
| 09-21 06:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $72.73 |
| 09-16 18:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.3959785523 | $14.77 |
| 09-16 17:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1PM ET | SELL | 0.011 | $0.42 |
| 09-16 17:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.4799999616 | $4.00 |
| 09-16 17:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.4399999934 | $13.33 |
| 09-16 17:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $19.96 |
| 09-16 16:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.6799999901 | $13.71 |
| 09-16 16:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET | SELL | 0.23 | $8.14 |
| 09-16 16:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $5.00 |