milouf42
0xe610236b8cb5606e6887ba2213866583d2b17ce9
- Realised P&L
- $28.05
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $46.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.09at 0.270Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 21?
- +$26.25at 0.160Packers vs. Jets
- +$15.63at 0.356Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 19?
- +$15.36at 0.395Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 23?
- +$13.01at 0.334Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 11:43 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.5199999055 | $1.10 |
| 09-28 11:42 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.51 | $4.23 |
| 09-28 11:40 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.0866666667 | $0.65 |
| 09-28 09:59 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.00 |
| 09-28 08:12 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.4 | $3.08 |
| 09-28 07:03 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.3910323253 | $3.00 |
| 09-28 06:23 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.80 |
| 09-28 06:23 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.2625 | $2.10 |
| 09-28 03:48 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.40 |
| 09-27 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.28 |
| 09-27 05:02 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.4131707015 | $3.08 |
| 09-27 05:02 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.4131707015 | $3.08 |
| 09-27 05:02 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.4131707015 | $3.08 |
| 09-27 05:02 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.4131707015 | $3.08 |
| 09-27 01:06 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.68 |