PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

milouf42

0xe610236b8cb5606e6887ba2213866583d2b17ce9

Realised P&L
$28.05
Volume
$3.5k
Markets traded
77
Open portfolio
$46.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded77
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 28? · Yes0.4131.000$7.45+$4.37
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 28? · Yes0.4001.000$7.00+$4.20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 29? · Yes0.4130.595$4.44+$1.36
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 30? · Yes0.3200.455$4.27+$1.27
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 30? · Yes0.5120.405$4.21−$1.11
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on September 29? · Yes0.3910.480$3.68+$0.68
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 29? · Yes0.4130.450$3.35+$0.27
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 30? · Yes0.4000.425$2.98+$0.17
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 29? · Yes0.4000.340$2.62−$0.46
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 29? · Yes0.4130.330$2.46−$0.62
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 30? · Yes0.2620.240$1.92−$0.18
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 29? · Yes0.4130.250$1.86−$1.22
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on September 28? · Yes0.4000.001$0.00−$3.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 28? · Yes0.4130.001$0.00−$3.08
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 20? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$11.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 11:43Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 30?BUY0.5199999055$1.10
09-28 11:42Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 30?BUY0.51$4.23
09-28 11:40Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 28?SELL0.0866666667$0.65
09-28 09:59Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 30?BUY0.32$3.00
09-28 08:12Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 29?BUY0.4$3.08
09-28 07:03Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on September 29?BUY0.3910323253$3.00
09-28 06:23Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 30?BUY0.4$2.80
09-28 06:23Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 30?BUY0.2625$2.10
09-28 03:48Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 28?SELL0.2$1.40
09-27 06:01Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 27?SELL0.04$0.28
09-27 05:02Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 29?BUY0.4131707015$3.08
09-27 05:02Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 29?BUY0.4131707015$3.08
09-27 05:02Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 29?BUY0.4131707015$3.08
09-27 05:02Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 29?BUY0.4131707015$3.08
09-27 01:06Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 28?BUY0.24$1.68