CherryB16
0xe6055a224d277a3eb39df9ee5ea8201c55c4ac5f
- Realised P&L
- $7.6k
- Volume
- $1.95M
- Markets traded
- 1,044
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,044
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration36.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · Yes | 0.296 | 0.395 | $790.00 | +$198.60 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.186 | 0.205 | $686.06 | +$65.06 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.169 | 0.104 | $184.28 | −$115.72 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.042 | $143.10 | +$43.10 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.100 | $91.09 | −$8.91 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.026 | $77.98 | −$22.08 |
| Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in July? · Yes | 0.106 | 0.005 | $6.72 | −$122.42 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? · Yes | 0.062 | 0.001 | $0.81 | −$99.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.286Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
- +$2.4kat 0.205US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$2.1kat 0.362Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?
- +$1.9kat 0.323 Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
- +$1.9kat 0.370Knicks vs. Spurs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:46 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.1683482514 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 21:45 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.1614849531 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 21:45 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.1789999988 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 19:57 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0352818084 | $62.97 |
| 08-02 19:56 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0320348256 | $37.09 |
| 08-02 07:16 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? | BUY | 0.1097804383 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 06:55 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.1924742033 | $371.00 |
| 08-02 02:30 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.1771844121 | $250.00 |
| 08-01 03:23 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.261402414 | $261.40 |
| 07-31 08:23 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.2437066738 | $666.76 |
| 07-31 06:53 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | SELL | 0.19 | $38.00 |
| 07-31 02:43 | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.003 | $30.00 |
| 07-31 02:35 | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.003 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 01:34 | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0056345073 | $9.40 |
| 07-31 01:02 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | BUY | 0.315 | $63.00 |