ter5y5
0xe602cb056466e4b72726d6d0e2ec292a7f63609d
- Realised P&L
- $14.55
- Volume
- $14.9k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $14.78
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 10? · No | 0.979 | 1.000 | $8.52 | +$0.17 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 10? · No | 0.998 | 0.997 | $6.26 | −$0.01 |
| Virginia Tech vs. Boston College: O/U 36.5 · Over | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.13 |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.50 Week of May 18 2026? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 12? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.17at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 12?
- +$19.27at 0.500Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.50 Week of May 18 2026?
- +$9.60at 0.957Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?
- +$6.29at 0.736Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5
- +$2.16at 0.997Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 37°C on September 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 13:12 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.979 | $8.34 |
| 10-09 02:59 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.27 |
| 10-07 08:20 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.995 | $8.11 |
| 09-26 13:22 | Virginia Tech vs. Boston College: O/U 36.5 | BUY | 0.77 | $4.13 |
| 09-04 15:19 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 37°C on September 6? | BUY | 0.997 | $2.5k |
| 07-07 14:13 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on July 8? | BUY | 0.971 | $6.54 |
| 07-03 14:13 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 4? | BUY | 0.975 | $16.57 |
| 06-26 16:14 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 28? | BUY | 0.975 | $6.77 |
| 06-18 07:30 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 19? | BUY | 0.987 | $12.26 |
| 06-03 13:59 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 1 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.69 |
| 06-01 14:25 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 2? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.78 |
| 05-25 10:57 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 26? | BUY | 0.965 | $11.48 |
| 05-16 02:40 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on May 18? | BUY | 0.985 | $14.99 |
| 05-06 10:56 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 7? | BUY | 0.987 | $11.73 |
| 04-20 10:55 | Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.73 | $17.24 |