rstombvgh
0xe5fd57ca6f7d9de929dd7652d7ca61660717bc7e
- Realised P&L
- $-64.43
- Volume
- $10.2k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $66.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$106.24at 0.541Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 3?
- +$78.74at 0.75076ers vs. Wizards
- +$27.68at 0.890Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 24 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?
- +$26.83at 0.836Will Colton Moore win the GA-14 special election?
- +$25.42at 0.888Will Jason Friedman be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-13 04:32 | Spread: Mohammedan SC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.11 | $47.82 |
| 04-08 08:10 | Spread: Club Puebla (-1.5) | BUY | 0.21 | $109.22 |
| 03-08 09:56 | Bulls vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.24 | $71.04 |
| 03-01 01:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 3? | BUY | 0.049 | $10.25 |
| 02-18 19:00 | Will Switzerland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.03 | $2.97 |
| 02-18 19:00 | Will Switzerland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.027 | $0.27 |
| 02-17 07:30 | Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards? | BUY | 0.037 | $3.99 |
| 02-16 22:51 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on February 19? | BUY | 0.037 | $7.38 |
| 02-16 20:22 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on February 19? | BUY | 0.061 | $9.46 |
| 02-14 20:50 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 16? | BUY | 0.023 | $3.19 |
| 02-12 19:11 | Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 9 above $355? | BUY | 0.012 | $1.75 |
| 02-11 06:55 | Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at <$350 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 9 – Feb 13? | BUY | 0.025 | $5.12 |
| 02-09 05:14 | Spread: Sunderland AFC (-2.5) | BUY | 0.028 | $4.35 |
| 02-07 18:25 | Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 10 be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000? | BUY | 0.052 | $6.20 |
| 02-03 11:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on February 6? | BUY | 0.159 | $32.39 |