PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Xyzeric

0xe5f518613d3b9323b93027ac55e35b4e49989c9c

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$237.4k
Markets traded
260
Open portfolio
$7.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded260
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.5550.581$724.06+$31.18
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? · No0.9050.935$434.41+$13.98
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? · No0.9320.967$355.48+$12.84
Will John Mateer be the first overall pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? · No0.9040.962$344.64+$20.75
Will You Can See Everything win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.7010.640$332.80−$31.71
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? · No0.4500.616$325.05+$87.48
Will Dante Moore be the first overall pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft? · No0.9220.939$300.98+$5.37
Will Bruno Guimarães win the 2026-27 English Premier League Player of the Season award? · No0.9410.810$295.12−$47.59
Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026? · No0.8630.977$293.73+$34.18
Will Fulham be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? · No0.6780.835$270.50+$50.73
Will Juventus finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season? · Yes0.3540.340$264.85−$11.32
Will Nik Bonitto win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? · No0.9310.978$238.20+$11.31
Will Sheldon Keefe win the 2026-27 Jack Adams Award? · No0.9050.954$198.20+$10.14
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · Yes0.2870.295$182.44+$4.82
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.3390.240$177.26−$73.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:00Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.0494696636$17.42
10-30 18:28Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0532132499$34.86
10-29 22:03Will Juventus finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season?BUY0.2908951056$94.80
10-28 11:25Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?SELL0.0415690153$9.35
10-27 19:25Will Juventus finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season?SELL0.2145844533$19.96
10-27 19:25Will Juventus finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season?BUY0.4003090107$218.60
10-26 17:01Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?SELL0.07$0.11
10-26 17:00Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?SELL0.07$16.68
10-26 16:59Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?SELL0.08$63.57
10-25 11:50Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?BUY0.18$46.89
10-25 11:47Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?SELL0.789$0.34
10-25 11:47Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?SELL0.1693144715$41.65
10-25 11:46Will Nikola Jokic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?SELL0.87$21.25
10-24 18:18Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026-27 NHL Atlantic Division?SELL0.67875$108.60
10-24 17:01Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026-27 NHL Atlantic Division?BUY0.5426584872$141.55