Kendom
0xe5ef3051672ba427f01b7476ed5402a19caa1de9
- Realised P&L
- $-136.99
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $13.89
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.125 | $13.89 | −$36.11 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$62.29 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) opening price Up or Down on January 5? · No | 0.028 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.03at 0.749Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?
- +$9.28at 0.851Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition
- +$-8.90at 0.196Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-08 08:40 | Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | BUY | 0.5599999964 | $62.29 |
| 02-28 06:23 | Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition | BUY | 0.8676591874 | $22.24 |
| 02-28 06:22 | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $22.25 |
| 02-28 06:22 | Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition | BUY | 0.8394449634 | $30.77 |
| 02-05 14:42 | Will "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | BUY | 0.0999097162 | $50.00 |
| 01-14 18:34 | Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.7489999978 | $68.75 |
| 01-14 18:27 | Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999955 | $50.00 |
| 01-05 13:19 | S&P 500 (SPX) opening price Up or Down on January 5? | BUY | 0.0278011949 | $1.00 |
| 01-05 13:07 | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $19.00 |
| 01-05 13:05 | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $12.14 |