PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

TumTumTree

0xe5ee625d0e68c12148fbd374c0d24ea995770aba

Realised P&L
$-9.8k
Volume
$1.65M
Markets traded
108
Open portfolio
$219.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded108
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.019$136.50$633.50
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1600.055$82.50$157.50
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$594.55
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$230.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? · Yes0.3650.000$0.00$1.1k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-04 12:21Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?BUY0.42$195.22
04-27 22:48Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?BUY0.15$30.00
04-14 17:33Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?BUY0.34$401.77
04-14 11:14Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?BUY0.3$24.00
04-14 08:30Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?SELL0.13$491.06
04-13 15:15Netanyahu out by June 30?SELL0.06$457.63
04-13 15:13Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?SELL0.12$5.45
04-13 05:49Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?SELL0.003$8.79
04-11 21:30Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY0.3$576.00
04-11 21:29Iran leadership change by April 30?SELL0.92$552.00
04-10 13:22Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?SELL0.006$2.28
04-10 06:34Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY0.3$300.00
04-08 14:49Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?BUY0.15$156.87
04-08 01:22Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?SELL0.11$189.64
04-08 01:20Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?SELL0.12$233.04