cvxffd
0xe5e6607e4c56a3b7566465da5c366db60647e54d
- Realised P&L
- $784.39
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $5.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar32.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana dip to $70 in October? · No | 0.986 | 0.987 | $5.02 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$780.70at 0.577Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$1.20at 0.978Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June?
- +$0.58at 0.993Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in July?
- +$0.34at 0.994Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May?
- +$0.33at 0.971Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 09:21 | Will Solana dip to $70 in October? | BUY | 0.9860945833 | $5.02 |
| 09-03 02:43 | Will Solana dip to $10 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.02 |
| 08-13 09:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.02 |
| 07-03 06:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.02 |
| 06-08 08:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? | BUY | 0.9969998634 | $5.02 |
| 05-20 07:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.02 |
| 04-07 03:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April? | BUY | 0.996 | $5.02 |
| 03-04 05:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March? | BUY | 0.9949998266 | $5.02 |
| 02-09 02:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February? | BUY | 0.9929999411 | $5.02 |
| 01-07 05:03 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January? | BUY | 0.990999999 | $5.02 |
| 12-05 08:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.02 |
| 11-26 08:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.02 |
| 10-20 05:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October? | BUY | 0.9879999291 | $5.02 |
| 09-24 07:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September? | BUY | 0.995 | $5.02 |
| 07-09 05:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in July? | BUY | 0.9929999891 | $82.34 |