0xe5e2ef05d861e7e40e99a95bcfcc88f29d15a533
0xe5e2ef05d861e7e40e99a95bcfcc88f29d15a533
- Realised P&L
- $-10.3k
- Volume
- $465.9k
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $23.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31? · Yes | 0.211 | 0.205 | $23.24 | −$0.67 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.532Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
- +$1.9kat 0.445Will England win on 2026-07-05?
- +$1.8kat 0.657Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?
- +$1.4kat 0.617Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance
- +$1.3kat 0.785Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 17:53 | Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.210870227 | $23.91 |
| 08-03 00:26 | Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-08-02? | SELL | 0.999 | $24.35 |
| 08-03 00:03 | Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.7249617785 | $17.67 |
| 07-11 22:19 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | SELL | 0.24 | $383.78 |
| 07-11 21:10 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2324999995 | $371.79 |
| 07-10 20:50 | Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? | SELL | 0.0875 | $133.11 |
| 07-10 20:47 | Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? | BUY | 0.6424999998 | $977.40 |
| 07-10 20:42 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | SELL | 0.3602354309 | $2.0k |
| 07-10 19:31 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.7976106815 | $4.5k |
| 07-09 20:12 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.125 | $279.25 |
| 07-09 16:52 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.1399999997 | $387.98 |
| 07-07 21:41 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? | SELL | 0.18 | $858.46 |
| 07-07 19:41 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.4099999999 | $2.0k |
| 07-07 17:48 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | SELL | 0.3148538841 | $1.6k |
| 07-07 16:30 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.4k |