PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Black814

0xe5dd2cf1ea5097f459b8579184e000618f4b490b

Realised P&L
$-2.4k
Volume
$201.2k
Markets traded
1,749
Open portfolio
$138.77

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,749
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration8.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs PRIVATE - Map 2 Winner · PRIVATE0.7801.000$25.63+$5.63
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 20? · Yes0.8000.992$24.79+$4.79
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 20? · Yes0.8700.926$21.29+$1.29
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 20? · Yes0.4200.932$11.10+$6.10
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 20? · Yes0.4900.975$9.94+$4.94
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs magic (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs · Liquid0.5700.565$9.91−$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 20? · Yes0.5600.635$5.67+$0.67
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 20? · Yes0.4700.530$5.64+$0.64
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 20? · Yes0.3530.325$5.53−$0.47
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 20? · Yes0.4740.515$5.43+$0.43
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 20? · Yes0.5500.485$4.41−$0.59
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 20? · Yes0.5740.495$4.31−$0.69
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 20? · Yes0.3600.445$3.71+$0.71
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 20? · Yes0.1200.065$1.08−$0.92
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 20? · Yes0.4210.004$0.12−$14.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 11:00Counter-Strike: Liquid vs magic (BO3) - 1win Private Club PlayoffsBUY0.5699999886$10.00
10-20 11:00Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 20?SELL0.996$12.20
10-20 10:30Counter-Strike: Alliance vs PRIVATE - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.7799999938$20.00
10-20 10:12Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 20?BUY0.5742573962$5.00
10-20 09:31Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 20?BUY0.1199999976$2.00
10-20 09:25Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 20?BUY0.3599999712$3.00
10-20 08:37Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 19?SELL0.999$27.17
10-20 08:21Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 20?BUY0.4699999944$5.00
10-20 08:21Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 20?SELL0.34$3.54
10-20 07:50Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 20?BUY0.4743082854$5.00
10-20 07:49Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 20?BUY0.549999956$5.00
10-20 07:48Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 20?SELL0.0754015124$2.09
10-20 07:42Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 20?BUY0.32$1.00
10-20 07:18Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 20?BUY0.8699999904$20.00
10-20 06:50Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 20?BUY0.8$20.00