PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

VFALL

0xe5dcd52630848fd7803cd13c09208e8876f835f9

Realised P&L
$2.1k
Volume
$4.69M
Markets traded
2,684
Open portfolio
$258.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,684
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by September 30, 2026? · No0.9400.985$182.13+$8.23
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m? · Yes0.3000.280$62.16−$4.44
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m? · No0.6200.720$14.40+$2.00
Games Total: O/U 2.5 · Under0.6040.000$0.00−$37.38
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · Yes0.6030.000$0.00−$356.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET · Down0.6090.000$0.00−$8.42
Ethereum Up or Down - January 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET · Down0.7200.000$0.00−$47.53
Ethereum Up or Down - December 31, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET · Up0.7630.000$0.00−$17.56
Will Trump say "Comrade Kamala" during Georgia rally on October 28? · Yes0.2620.000$0.00−$15.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET · Up0.7470.000$0.00−$41.06
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET · Down0.0800.000$0.00−$11.52
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET · Down0.8580.000$0.00−$26.02
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $105K on June 14 at 5 PM ET? · No0.0100.000$0.00−$1.34
Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET · Down0.0200.000$0.00−$10.08
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET · Up0.6920.000$0.00−$173.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 06:42Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?SELL0.999$216.46
09-30 13:33Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 30?BUY0.8387395155$32.20
09-30 11:05Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by September 30, 2026?BUY0.94$173.90
09-28 12:59Trump renames AI by September 30?SELL0.62$130.20
09-27 19:55Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?BUY0.62$12.40
09-24 10:44Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?BUY0.9388235294$199.50
09-23 03:48Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during their summit?BUY0.77$119.35
09-23 03:48Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during their summit?BUY0.76$4.56
09-23 02:23Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.7$64.40
09-23 02:22Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.69$44.17
09-22 08:39CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by October 31?BUY0.83$362.29
09-22 08:32Will Trump say "Regime Change" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?BUY0.74$106.56
09-21 11:26Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?SELL0.8425773196$32.69
09-21 11:22Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?BUY0.85$37.49
09-21 10:45Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?BUY0.85$42.50