Ya13
0xe5d997e68e63d67ee73e9834f7bd834b9c96f604
- Realised P&L
- $0.00
- Volume
- $21.61
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $18.73
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? · Yes | 0.978 | 0.971 | $4.96 | −$0.04 |
| SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.775 | $4.67 | −$0.33 |
| Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.867 | $4.66 | −$0.34 |
| Will SpaceX have fewer than 14 launches in October 2026? · Yes | 0.980 | 0.870 | $4.44 | −$0.56 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 12:44 | Will SpaceX have fewer than 14 launches in October 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 16:20 | SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 16:20 | Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.9299998419 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 16:18 | Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? | BUY | 0.9779999977 | $5.00 |