Powerful-as-Vegetables
0xe5cf1a8ad589e0b3d1e8f0fedeb3dd6299e67392
- Realised P&L
- $-957.18
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $826.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-22.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.880 | 0.955 | $541.96 | +$42.56 |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · Yes | 0.374 | 0.095 | $252.83 | −$743.76 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.075 | $31.25 | −$68.75 |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? · Yes | 0.583 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? · Yes | 0.577 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$117.69at 0.722Trump out as President by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 10:37 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $499.40 |
| 03-30 14:42 | Trump out as President by June 30? | BUY | 0.939999997 | $199.61 |
| 03-19 16:21 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.5827829255 | $100.00 |
| 03-19 16:19 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.5769008884 | $100.00 |
| 03-19 16:16 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.2399999986 | $100.00 |
| 03-19 10:33 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.3974809681 | $221.38 |
| 03-19 10:32 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.3751215619 | $242.08 |
| 03-19 10:30 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.3500300134 | $347.54 |
| 03-19 10:27 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.34 | $5.10 |