PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Markan-TopV1

0xe5cb8736dfa1efc767eb2987dcba14aee382762d

Realised P&L
$665.31
Volume
$60.1k
Markets traded
3
Open portfolio
$179.03

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded3
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31? · No0.0710.033$96.53$115.77
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0020.002$82.50$27.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 15:09Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.002$10.00
09-06 14:37Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.002$100.00
08-31 19:05Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?BUY0.09$4.86
08-31 18:58Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?BUY0.063$32.76
08-31 18:54Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?BUY0.062$0.98
08-29 23:46Moises Itauma vs. Filip HrgovicSELL0.991$1.0k
08-28 19:41Moises Itauma vs. Filip HrgovicBUY0.18$15.40
08-27 19:58Moises Itauma vs. Filip HrgovicBUY0.2071059422$200.00