Tickev
0xe5c58c51db04773140af3ef9853c518ba70c6d82
- Realised P&L
- $-2.11
- Volume
- $467.61
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $23.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 150k? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.790 | $23.50 | −$2.38 |
| Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Trump say "Shots fired" or "Shots will be fired" during White House Correspondents Dinner? · Yes | 0.301 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 26? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on July 24? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.03 |
| Will Trump say "Economy" or "Economic" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.05at 0.442Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on July 22?
- +$8.00at 0.560Will Trump say "Melania" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?
- +$7.38at 0.574Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 22?
- +$5.60at 0.422Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 22?
- +$2.31at 0.893Will Rodri join Barcelona?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 07:47 | Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 150k? | BUY | 0.8699999835 | $25.88 |
| 09-24 07:03 | Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.4899999584 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 07:02 | Will Trump say "Economy" or "Economic" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.3299999655 | $2.39 |
| 09-24 07:02 | Will Trump say "Melania" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 08-18 15:10 | Will Rodri join Barcelona? | SELL | 0.995 | $22.57 |
| 08-08 16:56 | Will Rodri join Barcelona? | BUY | 0.887999958 | $20.14 |
| 07-28 17:24 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 28? | BUY | 0.9799999578 | $19.50 |
| 07-25 19:09 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 26? | BUY | 0.44999997 | $6.00 |
| 07-25 14:48 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 25? | SELL | 0.9046842878 | $6.16 |
| 07-25 06:24 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 25? | BUY | 0.5799999471 | $3.95 |
| 07-23 19:35 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 23? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.24 |
| 07-23 19:34 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 23? | SELL | 0.996 | $3.16 |
| 07-23 15:51 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on July 24? | BUY | 0.4699999429 | $4.03 |
| 07-23 15:17 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 23? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.20 |
| 07-23 13:01 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 23? | BUY | 0.6299999181 | $2.00 |