LaRRaNed
0xe5c08bb40f751c97db14f2b03016ad3896cf4601
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $136.0k
- Markets traded
- 506
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded506
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$234.55at 0.895Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 29?
- +$95.65at 0.904Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 21?
- +$49.90at 0.001Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 26?
- +$23.80at 0.977Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 15?
- +$19.96at 0.990Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 16:08 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $499.50 |
| 09-26 15:17 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.9979999881 | $50.00 |
| 09-25 18:22 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.998 | $49.00 |
| 09-23 20:57 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.99 | $15.00 |
| 09-23 18:49 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.9801980004 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 18:49 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.9801785889 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 05:04 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.9949999989 | $560.00 |
| 09-22 15:59 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.99 | $0.27 |
| 09-21 16:03 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or higher on September 21? | SELL | 0.995 | $42.25 |
| 09-21 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or higher on September 21? | BUY | 0.988999999 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 14:59 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.99 | $39.00 |
| 09-21 14:43 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or higher on September 21? | BUY | 0.9889999998 | $37.00 |
| 09-21 14:13 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.9899999208 | $11.00 |
| 09-21 14:11 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 09-21 07:41 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.9939999677 | $16.00 |