dilbar
0xe5bc536878e441fd15102b7f5e9866c6d303be35
- Realised P&L
- $77.19
- Volume
- $14.0k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $150.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.832 | 0.875 | $73.61 | +$3.61 |
| Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M? · M | 0.730 | 0.999 | $68.39 | +$18.39 |
| Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 82-84%? · Yes | 0.812 | 0.655 | $8.07 | −$1.93 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$75.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December? · Yes | 0.123 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in December? · Yes | 0.292 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? · No | 0.047 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$229.68at 0.503Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November?
- +$53.47at 0.550Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?
- +$35.76at 0.900Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?
- +$30.00at 0.700Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in December?
- +$21.18at 0.765Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in November?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 20:33 | Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 82-84%? | BUY | 0.8118811841 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 19:56 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 19:55 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 18:31 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M? | BUY | 0.7299999966 | $50.00 |
| 09-13 18:23 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.9 | $50.00 |
| 12-06 16:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 12-06 12:18 | Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | BUY | 0.0469999569 | $1.00 |
| 12-05 23:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in December? | BUY | 0.5399999881 | $20.00 |
| 12-04 23:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in December? | BUY | 0.7899999739 | $20.00 |
| 11-14 15:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November? | SELL | 0.02612599 | $26.13 |
| 11-13 16:12 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November? | SELL | 0.809 | $40.45 |
| 11-12 13:39 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November? | SELL | 0.6802055 | $54.42 |
| 11-12 13:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November? | SELL | 0.21 | $63.00 |
| 11-12 06:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November? | BUY | 0.7499999887 | $50.00 |
| 11-12 06:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November? | BUY | 0.9399999964 | $100.00 |