jsdjhs
0xe5bb07b2bf4c4f2c9da03b1540ce9525db1d4e56
- Realised P&L
- $5.87
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $120.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? · Yes | 0.998 | 1.000 | $45.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.895 | $36.57 | −$1.43 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No | 0.920 | 0.945 | $23.63 | +$0.63 |
| AI artwork hits $10M at major auction in 2026? · No | 0.966 | 0.949 | $14.73 | −$0.27 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.50at 0.903Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$1.15at 0.840Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$0.59at 0.972Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
- +$0.48at 0.932Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.42at 0.960Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 06:56 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? | BUY | 0.9979999859 | $45.00 |
| 10-27 06:55 | AI artwork hits $10M at major auction in 2026? | BUY | 0.9661587955 | $15.00 |
| 10-27 06:54 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.92 | $23.00 |
| 10-27 06:53 | Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher? | BUY | 0.9299999993 | $25.00 |
| 10-27 06:52 | Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher? | BUY | 0.9299999964 | $13.00 |
| 06-22 04:12 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $88.00 |
| 06-22 04:01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 06-22 03:56 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.8199999874 | $1.30 |
| 06-01 01:50 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.9 | $14.00 |
| 06-01 01:49 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 06-01 01:48 | Valorant: LOUD vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2 | BUY | 0.9499995725 | $2.00 |
| 04-19 07:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April? | BUY | 0.999 | $103.98 |
| 02-21 05:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February? | BUY | 0.999 | $121.79 |
| 01-09 06:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January? | BUY | 0.996 | $101.00 |
| 01-09 06:53 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.954 | $94.08 |