0xe5b81278a9b13ad9e039086ac3989b92a072e60e
0xe5b81278a9b13ad9e039086ac3989b92a072e60e
- Realised P&L
- $-3.45
- Volume
- $62.58
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $2.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $127.50 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.795 | $1.26 | +$0.26 |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 29, 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.285 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.48at 0.410Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$1.30at 0.440Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?
- +$1.15at 0.470Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $192 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$0.80at 0.560Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?
- +$0.77at 0.570Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of August 31 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 10:59 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 02:58 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $127.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 18:52 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 22? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 07:21 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 22:47 | Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 17:38 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 13:21 | Will Trump say "Make America Healthy Again" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 05:19 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $960 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 21:07 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $192 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 06:16 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 10:13 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $176 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 02:12 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,350 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 17:19 | Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 09:17 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.6099997255 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 17:05 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |