jamesstephens
0xe5b5af3f1b4701b8486a7129d22d4d555ab59f8d
- Realised P&L
- $-43.23
- Volume
- $10.9k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $51.78
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-17? · Yes | 0.650 | 1.000 | $38.68 | +$13.54 |
| Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be between 3% and 4%? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.545 | $13.10 | −$1.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.68at 0.918Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?
- +$7.73at 0.670Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?
- +$1.68at 0.984Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?
- +$1.58at 0.985Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?
- +$1.13at 0.989Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January? | BUY | 0.9989999113 | $8.26 |
| 01-30 14:28 | Will XRP reach $2.80 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.98 |
| 01-30 13:03 | Will Ethena hit $0.33 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.25 |
| 01-30 12:03 | Will Opendoor dip to $1.25 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.59 |
| 01-30 11:37 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 in January? | BUY | 0.9989999874 | $63.14 |
| 12-30 14:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9987470011 | $4.58 |
| 12-30 12:08 | Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.60 |
| 12-29 20:51 | Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.992 | $25.21 |
| 12-29 20:40 | Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $30.09 |
| 12-29 18:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9969999961 | $48.50 |
| 10-30 19:56 | Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $39.82 |
| 10-30 18:16 | Will XRP reach $3.40 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $39.14 |
| 09-29 14:56 | Will Trump meet with Pope Leo in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.16 |
| 09-29 12:44 | TikTok removed from App Store by September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.23 |
| 09-29 06:21 | Will Solana dip to $150 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.38 |