PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

jamesstephens

0xe5b5af3f1b4701b8486a7129d22d4d555ab59f8d

Realised P&L
$-43.23
Volume
$10.9k
Markets traded
78
Open portfolio
$51.78

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded78
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-17? · Yes0.6501.000$38.68+$13.54
Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be between 3% and 4%? · Yes0.6100.545$13.10−$1.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-31 13:29Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?BUY0.9989999113$8.26
01-30 14:28Will XRP reach $2.80 in January?BUY0.999$2.98
01-30 13:03Will Ethena hit $0.33 in January?BUY0.999$16.25
01-30 12:03Will Opendoor dip to $1.25 in January?BUY0.999$34.59
01-30 11:37Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 in January?BUY0.9989999874$63.14
12-30 14:16Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.9987470011$4.58
12-30 12:08Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?BUY0.999$12.60
12-29 20:51Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?BUY0.992$25.21
12-29 20:40Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?BUY0.998$30.09
12-29 18:58Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.9969999961$48.50
10-30 19:56Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?BUY0.999$39.82
10-30 18:16Will XRP reach $3.40 in October?BUY0.999$39.14
09-29 14:56Will Trump meet with Pope Leo in September?BUY0.999$14.16
09-29 12:44TikTok removed from App Store by September 30?BUY0.999$11.23
09-29 06:21Will Solana dip to $150 in September?BUY0.999$18.38