PolyBot

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Traders

0xe5b4a77296bab37056e72acc10dce5babf0ba85a

0xe5b4a77296bab37056e72acc10dce5babf0ba85a

Realised P&L
$1.3k
Volume
$58.3k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$131.57

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample33 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)21.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? · Yes0.0740.044$59.56−$40.44
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison? · Yes0.1010.040$43.01−$66.99
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? · Yes0.0900.017$9.44−$40.55
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? · Yes0.1900.026$6.84−$43.16
US strike on Mexico by December 31? · Yes0.2000.033$4.06−$20.94
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison? · Yes0.1490.018$3.61−$26.39
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.1400.007$2.68−$47.32
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0530.003$2.36−$47.64

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-06 23:11Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.011$17.10
05-02 18:39Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1649999979$62.58
04-12 20:52Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?SELL0.37$64.37
04-02 12:24Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.053999998$24.87
04-02 12:22Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.016$24.87
04-01 04:03Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?SELL0.037$12.42
03-30 11:34Crude Oil all time high by March 31?SELL0.006$11.87
03-29 00:23Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?BUY0.4289026732$74.62
03-29 00:15Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?BUY0.4789410349$49.75
03-29 00:11Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?BUY0.074924681$24.87
03-28 01:11Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.242$47.82
03-27 02:30Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?SELL0.1408712313$129.85
03-23 04:58US strike on Mexico by December 31?BUY0.2$25.00
03-23 04:54Crude Oil all time high by March 31?BUY0.0439092858$25.00
03-23 03:41Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?BUY0.1828343658$30.00