Whirlwind-Exploration
0xe5b1377410ddd77dc3bf6fd5172e13fdc31330b2
- Realised P&L
- $-664.99
- Volume
- $513.3k
- Markets traded
- 10,769
- Open portfolio
- $8.74
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10,769
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 · No | 0.900 | 0.890 | $4.35 | −$0.05 |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.495 | $2.36 | −$0.31 |
| Will Imelda Castro Castro win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.490 | $1.01 | +$0.14 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · No | 0.625 | 0.965 | $0.96 | +$0.34 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? · Yes | 0.186 | 0.054 | $0.05 | −$0.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$340.56at 0.045Granby: Nicolas Arseneault vs Andres Martin
- +$186.84at 0.215Jordan vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second Half
- +$186.39at 0.100Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-02?
- +$170.98at 0.170St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 4.5
- +$154.20at 0.279Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-29 08:11 | Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | SELL | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 08-29 08:11 | Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.007 | $1.69 |
| 08-29 08:11 | Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election? | SELL | 0.34 | $2.38 |
| 08-29 08:11 | Will Sharafadeen Abiodun Alli win the 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.32 | $4.16 |
| 08-29 08:11 | Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.798 | $3.99 |
| 08-29 08:11 | SSI public model released by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $7.00 |
| 08-29 08:11 | Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians | SELL | 0.4 | $7.60 |
| 08-29 08:11 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.51 | $8.16 |
| 08-29 08:11 | Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | SELL | 0.52 | $13.52 |
| 08-29 08:11 | Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | SELL | 0.35 | $15.40 |
| 08-29 08:11 | Will Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election? | SELL | 0.29 | $16.53 |
| 08-29 08:11 | Will PI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections? | SELL | 0.32 | $17.60 |
| 08-29 08:11 | Will "Primetime" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | SELL | 0.43 | $11.43 |
| 08-29 08:11 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.46 | $18.40 |
| 08-29 08:11 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? | SELL | 0.575 | $23.00 |