Luilui
0xe5b0dc896eb3a40b5967cca697c2b7d5b211dfa0
- Realised P&L
- $-4.75
- Volume
- $58.2k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $54.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.115 | $54.06 | −$20.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.55at 0.940Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?
- +$4.43at 0.946Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?
- +$4.07at 0.489Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$1.79at 0.977China coup attempt in 2025?
- +$0.50at 0.993Will Biden pardon Diddy?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-01 17:01 | Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.1595432808 | $75.00 |
| 01-14 17:21 | Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9459999999 | $77.68 |
| 08-13 12:45 | China coup attempt in 2025? | BUY | 0.9769999908 | $75.90 |
| 05-07 05:48 | Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025? | BUY | 0.94 | $71.35 |
| 02-20 13:31 | Will Athletic Bilbao win La Liga? | BUY | 0.997 | $71.13 |
| 01-17 10:50 | Will Biden pardon Diddy? | BUY | 0.993 | $70.63 |
| 12-22 11:36 | Will there be a US Government shutdown? | BUY | 0.9939999973 | $70.21 |
| 11-14 14:19 | Will the Titans win Super Bowl 2025? | BUY | 0.997 | $70.00 |
| 11-03 16:30 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.539 | $43.84 |
| 10-27 09:30 | Will a Democrat win Montana Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.995 | $26.02 |
| 10-13 08:12 | Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.004 | $20.02 |
| 10-13 08:05 | Will the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.004 | $4.50 |
| 10-13 08:04 | Bournemouth wins the Premier League? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.50 |
| 10-13 08:04 | Crystal Palace wins the Premier League? | BUY | 0.003 | $20.00 |
| 10-13 08:00 | Will a candidate from another party win Massachusetts Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.998 | $8.99 |