PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Luilui

0xe5b0dc896eb3a40b5967cca697c2b7d5b211dfa0

Realised P&L
$-4.75
Volume
$58.2k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$54.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)47.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? · Yes0.1600.115$54.06$20.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-01 17:01Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?BUY0.1595432808$75.00
01-14 17:21Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?BUY0.9459999999$77.68
08-13 12:45China coup attempt in 2025?BUY0.9769999908$75.90
05-07 05:48Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?BUY0.94$71.35
02-20 13:31Will Athletic Bilbao win La Liga?BUY0.997$71.13
01-17 10:50Will Biden pardon Diddy?BUY0.993$70.63
12-22 11:36Will there be a US Government shutdown? BUY0.9939999973$70.21
11-14 14:19Will the Titans win Super Bowl 2025?BUY0.997$70.00
11-03 16:30Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?SELL0.539$43.84
10-27 09:30Will a Democrat win Montana Presidential Election?BUY0.995$26.02
10-13 08:12Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?BUY0.004$20.02
10-13 08:05Will the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals?BUY0.004$4.50
10-13 08:04Bournemouth wins the Premier League?BUY0.003$1.50
10-13 08:04Crystal Palace wins the Premier League?BUY0.003$20.00
10-13 08:00Will a candidate from another party win Massachusetts Presidential Election?SELL0.998$8.99