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Traders

luisesca

0xe5ae19c2bc2304c3a6c1715a4861c8ba6a92c174

Realised P&L
$-7.98
Volume
$133.95
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$10.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 29? · Yes0.9850.952$4.83−$0.17
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6600.625$2.84−$0.16
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7300.725$1.99−$0.01
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 29? · Up0.9100.915$1.01+$0.01
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? · No0.3700.000$0.00−$3.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1610.000$0.00−$2.00
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$1.00
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance · Senegal0.7860.000$0.00−$6.00
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance · Cabo Verde0.1200.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 12:33S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 29?BUY0.9099992538$1.00
09-29 12:32S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 29?BUY0.9850149724$5.00
09-29 12:27Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.7299999087$2.00
09-24 05:05Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.659999934$3.00
09-02 17:43Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?BUY0.7099998694$5.00
07-03 23:25Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceBUY0.1199998992$1.00
07-01 21:40Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to AdvanceBUY0.9749998245$5.00
07-01 18:55Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4$1.00
07-01 16:22England vs. DR Congo: Team to AdvanceBUY0.6699999196$1.00
07-01 03:42Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to AdvanceBUY0.9930784199$5.00
06-30 03:05Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceSELL0.49$2.88
06-30 02:38Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceBUY0.1699998861$1.00
06-29 23:24Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceSELL0.02$0.06
06-29 22:45Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceBUY0.93$3.00
06-29 19:06Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.4699998778$1.00
Trader luisesca · PolyBot Pro