0xE5AC9636e577f391B06dc98506Fa8519F2937466-1775730184398
0xe5ac9636e577f391b06dc98506fa8519f2937466
- Realised P&L
- $-5.26
- Volume
- $429.36
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $2.18
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.009 | $1.25 | −$3.75 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.005 | $0.92 | −$4.08 |
| Will the People's Bank of China increase rates in April? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? · Yes | 0.226 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.74at 0.570Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-05 04:46 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SELL | 0.83 | $8.73 |
| 04-11 10:45 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | BUY | 0.239999964 | $4.00 |
| 04-11 10:44 | Will the People's Bank of China increase rates in April? | BUY | 0.0142120683 | $0.90 |
| 04-09 10:48 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%? | BUY | 0.0359558355 | $5.00 |
| 04-09 10:47 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%? | BUY | 0.0297734777 | $5.00 |
| 04-09 10:46 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BUY | 0.569999961 | $6.00 |
| 04-09 10:41 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | BUY | 0.2099999489 | $3.00 |