0xe5a739a7c790c2661845a0f316cdb3ed1c9a01ed
0xe5a739a7c790c2661845a0f316cdb3ed1c9a01ed
- Realised P&L
- $1.09
- Volume
- $338.13
- Markets traded
- 117
- Open portfolio
- $8.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded117
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 21? · No | 0.220 | 0.350 | $1.72 | +$0.64 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.335 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? · No | 0.360 | 0.365 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.420 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.600 | 0.580 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.670 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · No | 0.450 | 0.390 | $0.87 | −$0.13 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.665 | $0.86 | −$0.14 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.036 | $0.08 | −$0.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.46at 0.240US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$4.09at 0.339Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$3.91at 0.349S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 11?
- +$3.58at 0.237Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?
- +$3.01at 0.410Will Trump say "Kamala" during remarks in New York?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 07:08 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 23:08 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 23:02 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:31 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 02:58 | Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 04:48 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 09:42 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 09:39 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 01:38 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 05:37 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 6? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 21:35 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699995842 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 12:17 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:53 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 11:17 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 03:09 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |