kekeaiaidewo
0xe5a050ad1867c8aef8bafb5a17c6f4ebc3dac985
- Realised P&L
- $-10.14
- Volume
- $26.3k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $83.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BNB dip to $300 in September? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $41.17 | −$0.04 |
| Will XRP dip to $0.40 in September? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $32.39 | +$0.00 |
| Will Solana dip to $40 September 21-27? · No | 0.998 | 0.996 | $9.97 | −$0.02 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET · Up | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.45at 0.996Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?
- +$0.30at 0.996Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
- +$0.30at 0.998Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?
- +$0.30at 0.998Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$0.26at 0.995Will XRP reach $3.00 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 13:03 | Will XRP dip to $0.40 in September? | BUY | 0.998 | $32.39 |
| 09-22 13:01 | Will Solana dip to $40 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.99 |
| 09-22 12:57 | Will BNB dip to $300 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $41.21 |
| 08-08 14:13 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in August? | BUY | 0.995 | $54.78 |
| 08-08 14:12 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $35.65 |
| 08-08 14:12 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $61.80 |
| 07-21 08:32 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $74.39 |
| 07-21 08:31 | Will XRP reach $1.70 July 20-26? | BUY | 0.996 | $30.51 |
| 07-21 08:30 | Will the price of Solana be between $30 and $40 on July 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.66 |
| 07-21 08:29 | Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on July 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.65 |
| 06-05 06:27 | Will XRP reach $1.80 June 1-7? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.43 |
| 06-05 06:27 | Will XRP reach $1.90 June 1-7? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.98 |
| 06-05 06:26 | Will XRP reach $2.00 June 1-7? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 06-05 06:21 | Will Solana reach $120 June 1-7? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 06-05 06:17 | Will Solana reach $130 June 1-7? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.97 |