Semo888
0xe5a006486b6636fa6d42774daf2f17f2c96c20da
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $209.4k
- Markets traded
- 521
- Open portfolio
- $852.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded521
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.097 | 0.038 | $587.68 | −$891.07 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.112 | 0.056 | $112.77 | −$112.22 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.098 | 0.011 | $89.44 | −$710.56 |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.153 | 0.045 | $32.63 | −$78.37 |
| Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $18.00 | −$17.96 |
| Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.005 | $7.54 | −$8.06 |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.021 | $4.10 | −$0.30 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.007 | $0.77 | −$2.63 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs · Bilibili Gaming | 0.428 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$276.95 |
| Will Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs · Invictus Gaming | 0.225 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$783.30at 0.196Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$587.53at 0.037France vs. England: Team to Win
- +$369.22at 0.921Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$348.01at 0.250Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?
- +$244.50at 0.040Warriors vs. 76ers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 04:56 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.033 | $3.40 |
| 09-13 16:34 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 16:34 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13? | SELL | 0.15 | $6.67 |
| 09-13 16:01 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.4499999964 | $50.00 |
| 09-13 12:47 | Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.001 | $6.00 |
| 09-13 12:44 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.4499999944 | $20.00 |
| 09-13 12:23 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | BUY | 0.04 | $5.65 |
| 09-13 10:51 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | BUY | 0.3099999982 | $34.00 |
| 09-13 09:49 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | BUY | 0.6599999988 | $168.00 |
| 09-13 09:46 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | BUY | 0.66 | $49.50 |
| 09-13 06:10 | LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 04:27 | LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | BUY | 0.629999995 | $20.00 |
| 09-12 16:24 | Will Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 15:48 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12? | SELL | 0.92 | $92.00 |
| 09-12 15:37 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12? | SELL | 0.55 | $55.00 |