shortcrypto14
0xe58c9cf56a181c3f534e6fbf6ba0c13639d9942a
- Realised P&L
- $412.97
- Volume
- $44.5k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.493 | 0.115 | $676.72 | −$2.2k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.398 | 0.075 | $547.38 | −$2.4k |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.409 | 0.116 | $491.10 | −$1.2k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.201 | 0.026 | $180.63 | −$1.2k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.081 | 0.021 | $146.59 | −$421.61 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.040 | $104.26 | −$318.06 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.272 | 0.041 | $91.08 | −$512.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$448.80at 0.390Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$-35.83at 0.641Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-10 18:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $230.09 |
| 08-10 18:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999991 | $87.90 |
| 05-22 19:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $577.96 |
| 05-22 19:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999972 | $53.00 |
| 05-22 19:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4974587321 | $1.0k |
| 05-22 19:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $313.00 |
| 05-18 00:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3737812901 | $368.22 |
| 05-18 00:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6247844793 | $2.0k |
| 05-18 00:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4903475642 | $1.2k |
| 05-18 00:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999976 | $100.00 |
| 05-18 00:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4182439532 | $1.5k |
| 05-13 21:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999998 | $993.67 |
| 05-13 21:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $124.72 |