bot0421
0xe58ba8ee5fe52e78057411e521edb204c0add6f5
- Realised P&L
- $-2.1k
- Volume
- $158.7k
- Markets traded
- 3,105
- Open portfolio
- $200.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,105
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$224.86at 0.110Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
- +$217.78at 0.236Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
- +$128.99at 0.484Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
- +$117.77at 0.275Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
- +$106.73at 0.317Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 05:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET | BUY | 0.44 | $2.64 |
| 09-25 05:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.44 | $3.30 |
| 09-25 05:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $1.44 |
| 09-25 05:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 05:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET | BUY | 0.07 | $0.47 |
| 09-25 04:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET | BUY | 0.0733944954 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 04:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $2.16 |
| 09-25 04:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET | BUY | 0.1399999936 | $2.61 |
| 09-25 04:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.219999999 | $4.60 |
| 09-25 04:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 04:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 09-25 04:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $2.40 |
| 09-25 04:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET | BUY | 0.38 | $4.75 |
| 09-25 04:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | BUY | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 09-25 04:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |