Salamalejkum
0xe5879992bd5e44961bcdfb4e83f4756fe3b5ce23
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $754.6k
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $94.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$178.19at 0.996Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
- +$80.69at 0.810Will Parma win on 2025-08-30?
- +$42.96at 0.043Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
- +$30.18at 0.999Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August?
- +$15.15at 0.999Will Solana reach $250 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 15:38 | Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Switzerland? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.40 |
| 07-03 16:08 | Will Zac Blair win the 2026 John Deere Classic? | BUY | 0.955 | $8.40 |
| 06-03 08:04 | Will Los Angeles Sparks win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | BUY | 0.9849999994 | $7.97 |
| 05-20 15:37 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.9359999975 | $15.00 |
| 05-20 15:37 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | BUY | 0.9519999994 | $27.00 |
| 04-22 09:52 | Will the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9449999894 | $4.01 |
| 03-21 12:46 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.9889999999 | $9.62 |
| 03-13 15:04 | Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.42 |
| 03-13 15:03 | Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.97 |
| 12-01 16:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9939999962 | $95.00 |
| 12-01 16:19 | Stable FDV above $6B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9376525995 | $43.10 |
| 12-01 16:18 | Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | SELL | 0.1530226124 | $59.96 |
| 12-01 16:18 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | SELL | 0.989 | $75.29 |
| 12-01 16:18 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | SELL | 0.997 | $93.56 |
| 11-02 12:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November? | BUY | 0.982005955 | $444.55 |