PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

zephyrS4

0xe584c18c4af125f16f5062f2f3fdb4478d2b9157

Realised P&L
$4.33
Volume
$37.7k
Markets traded
1,431
Open portfolio
$133.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,431
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration4.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 17? · Yes0.3531.000$23.99+$15.51
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or higher on September 17? · Yes0.4001.000$15.99+$9.59
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on September 17? · Yes0.3881.000$15.99+$9.78
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 17? · Yes0.2401.000$8.00+$6.08
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 17? · Yes0.1601.000$8.00+$6.72
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 17? · Yes0.2301.000$8.00+$6.16
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 18? · Yes0.4350.470$7.52+$0.56
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 18? · Yes0.3270.425$6.80+$1.57
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 17? · Yes0.3701.000$6.51+$4.10
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 18? · Yes0.4600.365$5.84$1.52
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 18? · Yes0.2670.285$4.56+$0.29
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 18? · Yes0.2000.560$4.48+$2.88
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on September 18? · Yes0.2840.260$4.16$0.38
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 18? · Yes0.2700.250$4.00$0.32
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 18? · Yes0.2370.235$3.76$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 02:00Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on September 18?BUY0.28373125$4.54
09-18 00:15Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 18?BUY0.2$1.60
09-17 21:00Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 18?BUY0.46$7.36
09-17 21:00Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 18?BUY0.14$2.24
09-17 21:00Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 18?BUY0.236875$3.79
09-17 20:01Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on September 18?BUY0.236875$3.79
09-17 20:01Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 18?BUY0.4351875$6.96
09-17 19:07Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?BUY0.24$1.92
09-17 18:07Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 17?BUY0.23$1.84
09-17 17:10Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 17?BUY0.37$2.41
09-17 17:10Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 17?BUY0.44$3.52
09-17 17:10Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 17?BUY0.37375$2.99
09-17 16:15Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 17?BUY0.27$2.16
09-17 16:15Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 17?BUY0.24$1.92
09-17 16:15Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 17?BUY0.16$1.28