cryptzilla
0xe583769ace11f46861601758528a788193996ff7
- Realised P&L
- $7.17
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $101.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.959 | 0.964 | $55.08 | +$0.26 |
| Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.926 | $46.07 | −$1.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.40at 0.941Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
- +$1.19at 0.970Will Arya Azma win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?
- +$1.11at 0.973Will Russia capture Havrylivka by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.05at 0.966Will Royce White be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
- +$0.63at 0.970Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-06 11:11 | Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.972 | $48.60 |
| 05-06 11:10 | Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.975 | $48.75 |
| 04-08 12:31 | Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election? | BUY | 0.9699999585 | $20.34 |