WINTERMUTE69
0xe57c5e82c58afe6b081dbca00f62e7d1b29ce799
- Realised P&L
- $-17.22
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $44.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
- +$22.90at 0.042US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?
- +$21.50at 0.570Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
- +$19.50at 0.110Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?
- +$17.20at 0.090Will Trump's approval rating be at least 37.4 on October 16, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 08:18 | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.0112 | $0.56 |
| 10-15 08:18 | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.0284 | $1.42 |
| 10-15 08:18 | Will Tatyana Ali be eliminated in week 6 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35? | SELL | 0.83 | $16.52 |
| 10-15 08:17 | Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 10-15 08:14 | Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 10-15 08:14 | Will NYC Mayor post 100-119 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 01-13 12:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $29.14 |