2dbd
0xe574b3c1b033d140fcb69594cd3ec1b43e9268a7
- Realised P&L
- $-82.12
- Volume
- $68.5k
- Markets traded
- 136
- Open portfolio
- $49.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded136
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will HSBC fail by end of 2026? · No | 0.996 | 0.978 | $49.09 | −$0.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$312.33at 0.180Thunder vs. Nuggets
- +$250.99at 0.190LoL: DN SOOPers vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
- +$205.68at 0.320LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
- +$130.00at 0.250Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?
- +$118.00at 0.100Magic vs. Bulls
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 06:23 | Will HSBC fail by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9956674466 | $50.00 |
| 05-13 06:22 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.978 | $50.83 |
| 04-11 10:20 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9619999998 | $50.00 |
| 04-11 10:18 | Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-04-11? | SELL | 0.5 | $18.73 |
| 04-10 18:55 | Will Olympique de Marseille vs. FC Metz end in a draw? | SELL | 0.86 | $125.46 |
| 04-10 18:50 | Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-10? | SELL | 0.45 | $90.00 |
| 04-10 18:50 | Will Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 04-10 17:45 | LoL: Esprit Shōnen vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LFL Regular Season | SELL | 0.25 | $48.98 |
| 04-10 13:50 | Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs | SELL | 0.74 | $74.00 |
| 04-10 10:51 | Dota 2: L1ga Team vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs | SELL | 0.59 | $30.92 |
| 04-10 10:51 | LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | SELL | 0.4 | $23.75 |
| 04-10 08:51 | LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana | SELL | 0.56 | $82.64 |
| 04-10 05:41 | Suns vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.5555555556 | $10.71 |
| 04-10 02:20 | Canucks vs. Kings | SELL | 0.71 | $70.99 |
| 04-10 01:50 | Golden Knights vs. Kraken | SELL | 0.62 | $62.00 |