fkmagafkelon
0xe5713580660f822eca5c4e6ffe1084503d360265
- Realised P&L
- $-11.5k
- Volume
- $390.7k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $3.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.109S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 7?
- +$1.1kat 0.746Raptors vs. Cavaliers
- +$786.97at 0.746Magic vs. Pistons
- +$757.14at 0.560Will Solana reach $150 in January?
- +$532.24at 0.840Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 20:01 | Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $300.00 |
| 10-30 20:00 | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0032233767 | $500.00 |
| 10-30 19:27 | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0105279113 | $500.00 |
| 08-05 17:27 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.014 | $22.75 |
| 05-03 22:37 | Raptors vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.7399999999 | $3.1k |
| 05-03 22:36 | Magic vs. Pistons | SELL | 0.999 | $3.1k |
| 05-03 18:03 | Magic vs. Pistons | BUY | 0.7399999999 | $2.3k |
| 05-03 18:02 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SELL | 0.3606613502 | $2.3k |
| 02-28 16:15 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 2? | BUY | 0.08 | $113.06 |
| 01-27 19:45 | Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.0k |
| 01-27 13:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January? | SELL | 0.9890251161 | $3.5k |
| 01-27 13:24 | Will Solana reach $150 in January? | SELL | 0.984 | $1.8k |
| 01-24 12:41 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BUY | 0.6043046844 | $1.4k |
| 01-23 14:55 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SELL | 0.493999622 | $1.4k |
| 01-22 21:40 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BUY | 0.5089033088 | $1.4k |