PolyBot

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Traders

MikeNelson420

0xe56f6e60326e16fe08a5a6e96abcc9b227e1cbd5

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$73.6k
Markets traded
1,351
Open portfolio
$536.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,351
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? · No0.5180.575$192.28+$19.18
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? · Yes0.4730.425$144.08−$16.30
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1? · No0.6330.580$69.60−$6.40
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1? · Yes0.3980.420$57.12+$2.94
Seahawks vs. Broncos · Seahawks0.5600.560$20.00+$0.00
Spread: Jets (-2.5) · Jets0.5101.000$9.00+$4.41
Spread: Cardinals (-3.5) · Cardinals0.2100.280$6.44+$1.61
Spread: 49ers (-3.5) · 49ers0.2800.360$6.12+$1.36
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 11? · No0.6300.685$4.79+$0.39
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on October 12? · No0.6000.575$4.60−$0.20
Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 49.5 · Over0.3300.325$4.55−$0.07
Spread: Ravens (-3.5) · Ravens0.2800.275$3.85−$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 12? · No0.6500.685$3.70+$0.19
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 12? · No0.6000.435$3.48−$1.32
Spread: Chargers (-3.5) · Chargers0.2600.130$2.34−$2.34

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 16:41Colts vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5BUY0.53$4.77
10-11 15:06Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 12?BUY0.6$4.80
10-11 14:11Spread: Titans (-3.5)BUY0.18$4.86
10-11 12:41Spread: Dolphins (-3.5)BUY0.17$4.76
10-11 12:06Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 12?BUY0.65$3.51
10-11 12:06Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 12?BUY0.03$0.18
10-11 12:06Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on October 12?BUY0.07$0.56
10-11 12:06Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on October 12?BUY0.6$4.80
10-11 11:56Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 49.5BUY0.33$4.62
10-11 11:47Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 11?BUY0.17$0.85
10-11 11:17Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 12?BUY0.08$0.48
10-11 10:17Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 11?BUY0.63$4.41
10-11 08:57Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 11?BUY0.025$0.42
10-11 08:57Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 11?BUY0.65$4.55
10-11 08:57Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 11?BUY0.028$0.28