MikeNelson420
0xe56f6e60326e16fe08a5a6e96abcc9b227e1cbd5
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $73.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,351
- Open portfolio
- $536.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,351
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$125.83at 0.665Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
- +$77.06at 0.657Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
- +$60.00at 0.590Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
- +$58.95at 0.670Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
- +$58.37at 0.672Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 16:41 | Colts vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5 | BUY | 0.53 | $4.77 |
| 10-11 15:06 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.6 | $4.80 |
| 10-11 14:11 | Spread: Titans (-3.5) | BUY | 0.18 | $4.86 |
| 10-11 12:41 | Spread: Dolphins (-3.5) | BUY | 0.17 | $4.76 |
| 10-11 12:06 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.65 | $3.51 |
| 10-11 12:06 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.18 |
| 10-11 12:06 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.56 |
| 10-11 12:06 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.6 | $4.80 |
| 10-11 11:56 | Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 49.5 | BUY | 0.33 | $4.62 |
| 10-11 11:47 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.17 | $0.85 |
| 10-11 11:17 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.48 |
| 10-11 10:17 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 11? | BUY | 0.63 | $4.41 |
| 10-11 08:57 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 11? | BUY | 0.025 | $0.42 |
| 10-11 08:57 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 11? | BUY | 0.65 | $4.55 |
| 10-11 08:57 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 11? | BUY | 0.028 | $0.28 |