PolyBot

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Traders

Arthur8198

0xe56e43233391dfe5aae77f6b41befc1f1bd1411c

Realised P&L
$4.31
Volume
$12.0k
Markets traded
433
Open portfolio
$50.62

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded433
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration5.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 18? · No0.9991.000$34.02+$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 18? · No0.9991.000$16.61+$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 01:17Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 18?BUY0.999$16.60
09-17 12:39Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 18?BUY0.9989999716$34.00
09-13 04:47Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 13?BUY0.9989999556$22.00
09-11 20:07Will Susan Sziborra-Seidlitz be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?SELL0.999$18.09
09-11 20:04Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C or higher on September 12?SELL0.999$31.40
09-11 02:01Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C or higher on September 12?BUY0.999$31.40
09-10 19:27Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #1 song this week?BUY0.998$22.30
09-07 17:09US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?BUY0.998$12.70
09-06 21:31Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 7?BUY0.999$14.80
09-06 08:57Will Susan Sziborra-Seidlitz be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.999$18.10
09-05 23:25Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 6?BUY0.998999933$10.30
09-05 10:08Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 5?BUY0.9989999942$29.80
09-05 06:19Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 5?BUY0.9989999385$16.00
09-04 21:46Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 78°F or higher on September 5?BUY0.9989998742$7.10
09-04 19:05Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 5?BUY0.9987217124$23.40